Final mock drafts have been filed. Sides have been taken.
All that remains is to place bets on one of the most intriguing NFL Drafts in recent memory.
Things kick off Thursday evening at 8 p.m. ET with a first round certain to be dominated by quarterbacks, from their own arm ability to potential protection and future targets.
That intrigue will in many ways emanate from the West Coast and involve the Oregon college football funnel.
Some picks on the Oregon Lottery Scoreboard betting app are easy to predict. Many more, though, less so.
San Francisco 49ers have major role with stacked QB class
Without a doubt, the San Francisco 49ers have been the most talked-about team in the lead-up to Thursday’s first round.
The national obsession started the moment 49ers GM John Lynch and head coach Kyle Shanahan traded up to obtain the draft’s third overall pick.
That means the 49ers now possess the first spot still undecided by bookmakers.
Former Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence has -10,000 odds to go first overall to Jacksonville, followed by BYU QB Zach Wilson in the number-two slot to the New York Jets (-2,000).
After that, things get interesting.
Momentum for the 49ers pick, nearly guaranteed to be a quarterback, has swung from Alabama’s Mac Jones to Ohio State’s Justin Fields and even North Dakota State’s Trey Lance. On Scoreboard, here’s how things stand for which quarterback might go to San Francisco:
- Mac Jones: -200
- Trey Lance: +150
- Justin Fields: +550
Interestingly, Fields (+225) ranks ahead of Lance (+250) to be selected fourth overall by the Atlanta Falcons.
The odds difference between the third and fourth slots is almost certainly based on coverage of the 49ers’ apparent interest in Lance, something not equally reciprocated in other league corners.
Atlanta Falcons a wild card at No. 4
The Falcons have not provided any sense of certainty for bettors.
Ahead of the two passers in the Atlanta’s odds ranking is Kyle Pitts (-110), a tight end from Florida. Creating even more variability are recent trade rumors involving star Falcons wide receiver Julio Jones.
If not chosen by Atlanta, any remaining passers will then have to wait until at least the seventh overall pick, held by the Detroit Lions, for a real chance at being selected high.
Lance (+275) currently possesses the best odds to go to Detroit. Meanwhile, Fields (+250) has the best odds to go ninth overall to the Denver Broncos.
Where will Oregon OT Penei Sewell go?
As usual, the Oregon Ducks will have their presence felt in the NFL Draft.
The cream of the state’s crop is led by offensive tackle Penei Sewell, a former Duck who sat out his junior year to prepare for the draft.
Sewell’s most likely landing spot is the Cincinnati Bengals at No. 5, according to Scoreboard. The Bengals saw last season’s experiment with a weak offensive line end tragically when QB Joe Burrow tore his ACL. Cincinnati is now a leading candidate to use an early pick on offensive-line help.
Sewell’s odds to go fifth overall to Cincinnati sit at +100. Similarly, he is -450 to be the first offensive lineman selected in the draft.
Unfortunately for Sewell, former LSU receiver (and teammate of Burrow) Ja’Marr Chase is an even higher favorite to be picked by Cincy. Chase is currently situated at -125 to become a Bengal.
If the Bengals choose Chase, Sewell’s next best chance to go in the top 10 is No. 8 overall to the Carolina Panthers. Sewell is listed with the best odds to go there, at +250.
Other Ducks to be chosen in NFL Draft
In the event Sewell slips past Carolina, Los Angeles QB Justin Herbert is expected to advocate strongly for his former Oregon teammate, making it unlikely Sewell could fall too far.
Another star Duck in this year’s draft class is safety Jevon Holland, listed at +350 to be the first safety selected. Positionally, the only player ahead of Holland is TCU safety Trevon Moehrig-Woodard, sitting at -400.
Joining the Ducks will be a handful of Oregon State players likely to be picked at some point in the seven-round draft, including running back Jermar Jefferson (number 157 on The Athletic big board), edge rusher Hamilcar Rashed Jr. (no. 210), and cornerback Nahshon Wright (no. 278).